Handicapping NASCAR’s Championship Four at Homestead-Miami Speedway

Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr. and Joey Logano will race for the 2018 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series championship Sunday at Homestead-Miami Speedway (Green flag: 3:03 p.m. ET, NBC).

In accordance with betting odds from Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, Busch and Harvick will be the favorites in +200, followed closely by Truex (+275) and Logano (+450).
Using results and 2018 loop information, we give a championship gambling pick and also handicap the race.
Following 35 races, Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr. and Joey Logano have earned the right to fight for the 2018 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series (MENCS) championship Sunday in Homestead-Miami Speedway.

Busch (2015),” Harvick (2014) and Truex (2017) have all notched one tournament in their own careers, while Logano is attempting to secure his first.

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It’s not surprise to visit Busch, Harvick and Truex still alive, as”The Big Three” combined to win 20 of the 35 regular-season races this past year. Logano scored two wins himself, but rode 25 endings to earn his shot at Homestead.

Employing historic loop data from FantasyRacingCheatSheet.com, let us break down the contenders to ascertain the best bet to acquire the 2018 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series championship.

The Track
Even though Homestead-Miami joins a handful of additional MENCS tracks at 1.5 mph, there actually are not any other people on the circuit like it.

Homestead offers banking, which enables lines to conduct .

The track surface itself is also quite abrasive, which makes new rubberized a huge benefit and wears out tires.

With tire wear making cars hard to drive and innovative banking allowing motorists to choose unique lines, passing is simpler here than at most other 1.5-mile paths that are overly reliant on aero for pace and so make follow-the-leader racing.

For the analysis below, I chose to analyze the previous four races in Hometead-Miami Speedway.

Using four races may seem a little arbitrary, but that amount was chose by me for two particular factors. 2014 was the first year which NASCAR went into the playoff format where drivers advance through the playoff of the sport until four remain .