NASCAR AT ATLANTA ODDS, PICKS 2019: MODEL SAYS CHASE ELLIOTT SURPRISES AT FOLDS OF HONOR QUIKTRIP 500

The 2019 NASCAR schedule kicks into high gear Sunday Together with the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 at Atlanta Motor Speedway.

The green flag falls at 2 p.m. ET for your 325-lap race along with defending champion Kevin Harvick is the 4-1 favorite in the latest 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 chances. Falling in just supporting him with 6-1 NASCAR at Atlanta chances are Joey Logano and Kyle Busch, who both finished in the top four last week at the Daytona 500. Prior to making your 2019 QuikTrip 500 selections and NASCAR at Atlanta predictions, make sure you check out the projected leaderboard in the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Developed by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive information engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 occasions, taking factors such as track history and recent results into consideration.

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It made some enormous calls in NASCAR last year, such as nailing wins for Kyle Busch in Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. in Sonoma. And it is off to a strong start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin a leading competition from the beginning. Anyone who has followed its picks is way, way up.

McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events in iconic places like Atlanta Motor Speedway are in his blood. Now his model simulated the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 a total of 10,000 times and the results were so surprising.

For your 2019 QuikTrip 500 at Atlanta, we can tell you the version is high on Chase Elliott, making a strong run at the checkered flag despite heading off at 10-1 odds. Elliott doesn’t have a long history at Atlanta, but he’s had success there at all three of his starts in the track since linking the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series. He has finished inside the top 10 in each of these races and even got a top-five finish in 2017.

Before joining NASCAR’s top circuit, Elliott had two top-five endings at Atlanta in the NASCAR Xfinity Series. Elliott is a Georgia native and his father, Bill Elliott, won at NASCAR’s highest level in Atlanta Motor Speedway five times in his career, so it’s something of a home monitor for the 23-year-old. The model expects him to ride that advantage towards the top of the leaderboard on Sunday.

Another shocker in the model: Kyle Busch, one of the best Vegas favorites at 6-1, does not even crack the top five.

The 2019 Daytona 500 runner-up started on the pole in this race a season ago, but ended up finishing in seventh position. The year prior, he had yet another quick ride in qualifying and started the race in third, but wound up in 16th.

Since his win at Atlanta at 2013, Busch has only conducted 56.7 percent of his laps inside the top 15. For his career, he has finished outside the top 10 in 13 of his 20 career starts at Atlanta Motor Speedway. There are far better worth within this affluent 2019 QuikTrip 500 lineup than the 6-1 premium you’ll need to cover him.

The model can be targeting three other motorists using 2019 NASCAR at Atlanta chances of 10-1 or even longer to make a serious run at winning everything. Anyone who backs these shots could hit it big.